As Expected Some are Writing the PM's Political Epitaph, Again

With the election of Pierre Poilievre many of the usual suspects in the Canadian media have asserted that PM Trudeau is finished. They confidently assert that he will lose the next election. And right on cue a couple of polls came out today seeming to "prove" their assertions. 

Of course, this is nothing new. These bozos have been saying  this since forever. Indeed it never seems to stop. It became ridiculous a long time ago.

As I have stated many times you have to ignore the polls and pundits to see how politics is going. My attitude towards the public polls is well known if you read this blog. As for the pundits there is a reason why they are providing their services to a media outlet and not a political party. They suck at political strategy and prognostication. Criminy, my amateur ass is better at it than they are. 

Then again that is no surprise. I attended Carleton U back in the day where I earned a Political Science degree. That is, I studied politics. The University has a journalism school and I met more than one journalism student in my classes. The thing is, they usually only took one or two of those classes as electives. Naturally, they spent most of their time learning how to be journalists and not observing and analyzing politics. I have noticed a few of these folks are now "Political Correspondents" for major news outlets and I always get a chuckle from their political "analyses".

At any rate, if the PM's and the Liberal Party's political fortunes are as bad as the polls and the pundits would have us believe we would see it. Governments have survival instincts as keen as any living creature. If they really feel threatened you can see it. Looking at the current government they are showing no signs of any political distress. Hell, I have watched political leaders who knew they were in trouble and although they put on a brave face you could tell they were troubled and we are not seeing that with the PM. In all likelihood, their internal data is indicating that they are still in good political shape. 

Make no mistake the current government is getting long in the tooth and the next election will be very tough for them. They could even lose it. However, that election is probably not going to happen for at least another year and possibly later. 

Eventually, Justin Trudeau's political career will come to an end. I would say after the next election regardless of the final outcome. Either he will lose and he will move on or he will win and decide not to fight a fifth election, leaving the PM's post a year or so after that election. Until then the pollsters and the pundits should stop asserting the PM will lose the next election until that election actually takes place. They are just making themselves look foolish.